AxyoAxyo Get your free Value Assessment
Early Warning System

Know which supply chain risks truly matter, and act before they cost you

Axyo watches every item, site, order and supplier, every day. When a risk is big enough to matter, it tells you what it will cost, how long you have, and what to do about it.

Early warning casesIllustrative
Demand forecast inaccurateCopper feeder cable · 3× the forecast · Aurora site
$386,00019 days to act
Total landed cost risingBuilding wire · supplier price increase · all sites
$150,00010 days to act
Supplier performance deterioratingWire mill · on-time in-full down to 78%
$118,00014 days to act
Reorder points and safety stock out of dateLED high bay fixtures · demand up 40% · Denver site
$92,0006 days to act
Planned lead time out of dateConduit fittings · planned 2 weeks, actual 5 · all sites
$64,00012 days to act
Ranked by dollars at risk. 14 smaller changes stay as alerts.
What it watches

Most supply chain risks are already in your data. Axyo also watches the world outside it.

84% of supply chain risks can be detected with internal data alone.1 External signals warn you earlier and confirm what your data is showing.

Internal dataIllustrative
Demand and sales
Sales ordersForecastsQuotesLost salesReturns
Inventory
On hand by siteTransfersReorder pointsCycle counts
Supply and production
Purchase ordersReceiptsLead timesSchedulesBills of material
Suppliers
On-time deliveryQualityAgreementsSpend
Finance
PricesInvoicesFreight costsDuties
External signalsIllustrative
Customers and markets
Customer newsProject announcementsConstruction starts
Prices and costs
Commodity pricesPrice indexesExchange ratesFreight rates
Logistics
Port congestionCarrier trackingStorms
Trade and regulation
TariffsDutiesTrade restrictions
Supplier risk
Supplier newsRecallsCredit ratings
Axyo Risk Ontology
85+risks
380+loss scenarios
4financial levers
Connects every signal to the risks it points to, and every risk to the loss it leads to.

1 Share of the yearly supply chain loss for a typical $250M distributor, in dollars, whose loss scenarios can be detected with internal data alone. Each loss line in Axyo's value model is split by the share of its scenarios that need external data.

Anatomy of an early warning case

Everything you need to act, in one place

  1. Dollars at riskWhat the loss will cost if nothing changes.
  2. Financial leversWhich of revenue, cost, margin and cash it hits, and whether service suffers.
  3. RunwayTime to impact, and the time you have left to act.
Early warning casePriority 1Illustrative
Copper feeder cable · data center order at risk
1Dollars at risk$386,000
2Financial levers
Revenue $340,000Cost $46,000
3Runway
19 days to act28 days to impact
4Root causes, linked
Demand surgeStock at another siteLate reorderShipment heldStock to small orders
5Ranked actions
  1. Transfer 9,000 ft from Denver to Aurora by truck
  2. Hold the 3,000 ft on hand for this order
  3. Order 8,000 ft from the wire mill now
6Evidence4 signals, 12 months of history · every number traced to its source
  1. Every root cause, linkedAll the risks behind the same loss, so you prevent the whole loss, not one risk.
  2. Ranked actionsThe moves that prevent the most, first.
  3. EvidenceThe signals and data behind every number.
Manage by exception

You set the threshold. Only material risks become cases.

$25,000
0early warning cases to act on
0alerts, for information only
One week of findings for a $250M distributor. Illustrative.
5×1planner productivity

Manually, a planner can typically review only about 1 in 5 items properly. Axyo checks every item, every day, and brings your team only the risks above your threshold.

1 Planners typically give close attention only to the 15–20% of items that matter most; the rest are left to system settings or rules of thumb (Logility). A third of planning teams spend most of their time firefighting (AIMMS survey of 320+ supply chain professionals, 2020). Axyo checks every item, every day.

From warning to action

You choose what you hear about, when, and where

What you hear about

Pick the risks, items, sites and suppliers you own, and the dollar threshold that matters to you.

When and where

Cases right away, alerts in a daily digest. Email, text, Slack or Teams, with quiet hours and a reminder when time to act runs short.

What happens next

Accept, override or put it on autopilot within the limits you set. Approved transfers, orders and allocations are written back to your ERP, and every decision is logged.

Built-in planning behind every action
DemandInventorySupplySupplierFinance

Recommended transfers, orders and allocations come from five planning modules on one connected data model.

Subscribe to notificationsDemand surges and sudden drops
EmailTextSlackTeamsHow often Early warning casesMaterial risksImmediately AlertsFor informationDaily digest
Only cases with at least
$25,000
Remind me when time to act falls below
1 day3 days7 days
Save subscription
Decision-grade AI

Generative AI can propose.
Decision-grade AI must prove.

Axyo is built on a risk ontology and calculated models, not a language model. Every number Axyo puts in front of you is calculated, not generated. Generative AI helps explain results and read unstructured data such as emails, but never produces the numbers you act on.

Data you can trust

Every file is profiled and checked before it is used. When data is missing or wrong, Axyo fills the gap with a documented fallback or estimate, and shows where it did.

The same answer, every time

Run the same question today or a year from now and get the same answer. A generative AI tool can give two different answers to the same prompt.

Full transparency

Open any number and see the transactions and arithmetic behind it, down to the order line, with a plain-language explanation.

A complete audit trail

Inputs, rule versions and decisions are all recorded: who decided what, when, and on what evidence.

It says how sure it is

Every case carries a confidence level, so a shaky answer never looks like a firm one.

It acts only within your limits

Below the limits you set, it proceeds. Above them, it asks first.

Generative AI toolsAxyo
How numbers are producedGenerated as textCalculated by AI models and business rules
Same question, same answerAnswers can vary from one run to the nextThe same answer, every time
Evidence behind each numberA written explanation that may not match how the number was producedThe transactions and the arithmetic, with a plain-language explanation
Reproducing a past decisionThe conversation is logged, but the answer can't be reproducedEvery input, rule version and decision is recorded, so any answer can be reproduced
Data, integration and security

Start instantly. Connect when you are ready.

Day oneStart with file exports

Spreadsheets or files exported from your ERP. No IT project to begin.

Within a weekConnect your ERP

Connectors for SAP, NetSuite, Microsoft Dynamics and others. Approved decisions are written back.

About four weeksValue from early warnings

Cases arrive every day, ranked by dollars at risk.

SOC 2 Type II certifiedNo rip and replaceEncrypted in transit and at rest