AxyoAxyoLead Times and Late Deliveries Request a demo
Lead times and late deliveries

Know when supply will really arrive

Axyo learns each supplier’s real lead time from every receipt, and warns you when an order will be late while there’s still time to act.

Get your free Lead Time AssessmentHow it works
One business, one yearIllustrative

An electrical distributor with about $250M in revenue

Today
$0lost to late supply last year
$840Kkept from being lost with Axyo

 

What caused it
74%of small and mid-size businesses say changing lead times affect them1
11 monthsin a row of slower supplier deliveries to U.S. manufacturers2
61%of purchase order lines arrive on time3
12%of freight spend goes to expediting, at the median4
The life of a purchase order

Where a delay hides, and how Axyo catches it

Sample business · illustrative
What Axyo does at each stage
When do you find out?

The later you find out, the more a late order costs

When do you usually find out an order is late?

Cost per late order line · illustrative
See today’s cases for a sample business
Estimate

Estimate what late supply costs your business

Set your revenue and adjust the assumptions. Your free assessment uses your real numbers.

$250M
$20M$2B
Assumptions

A late order costs you in expediting, lost sales and credits to customers. Yearly savings and the working capital freed from safety stock are shown separately, not added together.

Lost to late supply$1.2M0.5% of revenue, every year
Kept from being lost with Axyo$840K70% of that, every year
Working capital freed from safety stock$575K1.5% of your inventory, one time
Why it happensGet your own numbers, free
Why it happens

Every late delivery has a cause

Changing supplier lead times are the top inventory planning challenge for small and mid-size businesses, ahead of costs and demand. Buying earlier hasn’t fixed it: only 44% of businesses ordering earlier keep service above 90%, against 62% of those that don’t.1

What your current tools miss

Each one helps. None tells you which orders will be late in time to act.

Sees itPartlyMisses it

More than on-time delivery

Customers keep ordering

Delivery dates you promise are dates you can keep.

Less spent on rush freight

Found early, a late order is fixed by truck, not by air.

Less working capital in safety stock

Real lead times mean you hold what you need, not extra just in case. Excess and dead stock

What Axyo doesSee a sample assessment
What Axyo does

A warning with the fix, at every stage of a purchase order

Axyo monitors every order, supplier, shipment and receipt continuously. When an order is likely to be late, the right person gets the fix and what it’s worth.

Your rules, your call

Axyo recommends, and your team accepts or overrides. Or put it on autopilot, and Axyo acts on its own within your rules.

SettingsExample
ActionHow it runsApplies to
Update lead timesRecommendAutopilotAll itemsAll suppliers
Chase unconfirmed ordersRecommendAutopilotAll suppliers
Move stock between sitesRecommendAutopilotPhoenix, Dallas, Denver
Reset customer datesRecommendAutopilotExcept contract customers
Warn me above$50,000
Never go below97% fill rate
Chase if not confirmed in3 days
Who gets which warningPurchasingOperationsCustomer service
How it worksSee a sample assessment
See it work

A sample Lead Time Assessment

Three answers, about a week after you send five files. Illustrative

Last 12 months$1.2Mlost to late supplyBiggest cause: lead times out of date, $340KSee where and when Next 12 months$840Kyou can keep from being lost, about 70% of last year’s costMost preventable: lead times out of date, $270KSee what you can prevent As of today4 cases$706K of customer orders at risk, most urgent firstAct first on: copper wire for Dallas, within 3 daysSee today's cases
The same assessment also found $3.0M tied up in excess stock, $820K of it held because supplier lead times are unreliable. See Excess and dead stock.
How it works

From your data to a warning with the fix

Each layer builds on the one before it.

Next: Get started
Get started

Start with a free Lead Time Assessment

Results in about a week, live warnings from week two.

Day 1Files

Send five spreadsheet exports. See the list

Week 1Results

The real lead time for every supplier and item, the cost of late supply by cause, and today’s cases.

Week 2Review

Go over the results with Axyo and agree on first actions.

Week 2 onWarnings

Ongoing warnings start, and a direct ERP connection replaces the spreadsheets.

To agree on in the first meeting
  • Which sites, suppliers and product lines to start with
  • Your dollar threshold for warnings
  • Who gets which warnings: purchasing, operations, customer service
  • Which mailboxes to connect for supplier emails, if any
  • Which actions run on autopilot, and for which items, sites, suppliers and customers
  • Which ERP connection to set up after the spreadsheets

Annual subscription, billed monthly, cancel anytime. The assessment shows the payback before you commit.

Get your free Lead Time AssessmentRequest a demo

Who benefits

Each team gets what it needs from the same warnings.

Frequently asked questions

We’ve built this before, at enterprise scale

Fortune 100payments company where our founders built the risk, data and customer 360 platforms
1,000+key risk indicators monitored there
Hoursfrom signal to alert
30+data and AI patents held by our founders

See it in your business.

Send five files. In about a week, see what late supply cost you last year, which suppliers and causes drove it, and which open orders will be late.

Get your free assessmentRequest a demoSee a sample
Sources and notes
  1. 1
    Netstock 2026 Supply Chain Planning Benchmark Report, reported by FreightWaves, Sep 24, 2026: lead-time variability affects 74% of small and mid-size businesses; changing supplier lead times ranked as the biggest inventory planning challenge (29%), ahead of raw material costs (23%), freight costs (22%) and demand shifts (21%). 53% are ordering earlier or buying larger quantities; only 44% of those report service levels above 90%, against 62% of businesses not ordering earlier. Based on more than 2,500 customers and a survey of more than 150 businesses under $250M in revenue. Source
  2. 2
    Institute for Supply Management, October 2026 Manufacturing PMI Report, Nov 2, 2026: supplier deliveries to manufacturers were slower for the 11th consecutive month (Supplier Deliveries Index 59.1%), and the average lead time for production materials was 87 days, three days more than in September. Supply Chain Dive · ISM release
  3. 3
    SourceDay Supply Volatility Index, Spring 2026: on-time delivery of purchase order lines was 61.2% in Q1 2026 (60.6% in Q4 2025), across more than $60B a year of direct materials spending by manufacturers and distributors. Source
  4. 4
    APQC Open Standards Benchmarking, "Expedited costs as a percentage of freight cost": median 12.0%, 5,211 organizations. Source
  5. 5
    APQC Open Standards Benchmarking, "Percentage of supplier on-time delivery": median 90.0%, 4,648 organizations. The estimate uses 81% on time (19% late), from the sample business; change it to match yours. Source
  6. 6
    The sample business in Axyo’s value model: about $250M in revenue, $183.5M of purchases and $37.5M of inventory. Last year 19% of purchases arrived late, at a cost of $1.2M: $830K in expediting and premium freight, $165K of margin lost on $620K of lost sales, $125K in credits for late customer orders, and $82K to carry $820K of extra safety stock. That is about 3.2% of the value of each late order, plus extra safety stock of about 2.2% of inventory. About 70% can be prevented.
  7. 7
    U.S. Census Bureau, Monthly Wholesale Trade: durable-goods merchant wholesalers hold about 1.6 to 1.7 months of sales in inventory (2025), or about 13 to 14% of annual sales. The estimate uses 15%, from the sample business in Axyo’s value model; change it to match your business. Source
  8. 8
    Lokad, "Inventory Costs": annual carrying cost as a share of inventory value, commonly about 25%. The estimate uses 10%, well below that. Source
  9. 9
    The sample business, its sites, suppliers, items, orders, cases and amounts are illustrative: fictional, with realistic patterns. Your assessment uses your own data and external signals.
Illustrative examples9